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CRS Updates Report on Social Security Cost-of-Living Adjustments

OCT. 16, 2008

94-803 EPW

DATED OCT. 16, 2008
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Citations: 94-803 EPW

 

Order Code 94-803 EPW

 

 

Updated October 16, 2008

 

 

Gary Sidor

 

Information Research Specialist

 

Knowledge Services Group

 

 

Summary

 

_____________________________________________________________________

 

 

To compensate for the effects of inflation, Social Security recipients receive a cost-of-living adjustment (COLA) in January of each year. The Consumer Price Index for Urban Wage Earners and Clerical Workers (CPI-W), updated monthly by the Department of Labor's Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS), is the measure used to compute the change. The Social Security COLA is based on the percentage change in the average CPI-W for the third calendar quarter of the previous year to the third calendar quarter of the current year. The COLA becomes effective in December of the current year and is payable in January of the following year (Social Security payments always reflect the benefits due for the preceding month).

The 5.8% COLA payable in January 2009 was triggered by the rise in the CPI-W from the third quarter of 2007 to the third quarter of 2008. This COLA triggers identical percentage increases in Supplemental Security Income (SSI), veterans' pensions, and railroad retirement benefits, and causes other changes in the Social Security program. Although COLAs under the federal Civil Service Retirement System (CSRS) and the federal military retirement program are not triggered by the Social Security COLA, these programs use the same measuring period and formula for computing their COLAs. Their recipients will also receive a 5.8% COLA in January 2009. This report is updated annually.

_____________________________________________________________________

 

 

How the Social Security COLA Is Determined

An automatic Social Security benefit increase reflects the rise in the cost of living over roughly a one-year period. The CPI-W, updated monthly by the BLS, is the measure used to compute the change. The Social Security COLA is based on the percentage change in the average CPI-W for the third calendar quarter of the previous year to the third calendar quarter of the current year. The COLA becomes effective in December of the current year and is payable in January of the following year (Social Security payments always reflect the benefits due for the preceding month).

The January 2009 COLA

The amount of the January 2009 COLA became known on October 16, 2008, when the BLS announced the September 2008 CPI-W figure. The release of the September 2008 index amount made the comparison of the two July-September sets of CPI-W figures needed to compute the COLA (one for 2007 and another for 2008) possible. Table 1 shows how the January 2009 COLA is computed under procedures set forth in Section 215(I) of the Social Security Act.

     Table 1. Computation of the Social Security COLA, January 2009

 

 

                                                          CPI-W Index Points

 

 

 July 2007                                                     203.700

 

 August 2007                                                   203.199

 

 September 2007                                                203.889

 

 Average for Third Quarter of 2007 (rounded to the

 

 nearest one-thousandth of 1%):                                203.596

 

 July 2008                                                     216.304

 

 August 2008                                                   215.247

 

 September 2008                                                214.935

 

 Average for Third Quarter of 2008 (rounded to the

 

 nearest one-thousandth of 1%):                                215.495

 

 Percentage increase from the third quarter average  215.495 - 203.596 = 11.889

 

 for 2007 to the third quarter average for 2008

 

 (rounded to the nearest one-thousandth of 1% for     11.889 / 203.596 = 5.844%

 

 initial calculations, but rounded to the nearest

 

 one-tenth of 1% for the final application, as

 

 required by law):                                           COLA = 5.8%

 

 

 Source: BLS data series for the CPI-W for 2007 and 2008.

 

 

 Note: The reference base period for the CPI-W is 1982-1984 (i.e., the

 

 period when the index equaled 100).

 

 

What Else Is Affected Besides Social Security Benefits?

Social Security COLAs trigger increases in other programs. SSI benefits, veterans' pension benefits, and railroad retirement "tier 1" benefits (equivalent to a Social Security benefit) are increased by the same percentage as the Social Security COLA. Railroad retirement "tier 2" benefits (equivalent to a private pension) are increased by an amount equivalent to 32.5% of the Social Security COLA. Although COLAs under the CSRS and the federal military retirement system are not triggered by the Social Security COLA, these programs use the same measuring period and formula for computing their COLAs. Their recipients also receive a 5.8% COLA in January 2009.1 The COLA also triggers other changes in the Social Security program, including the following items indexed to the increase in national average wages:

  • Taxable Earnings Base. The Social Security (or Old-Age, Survivors, and Disability Insurance -- OASDI) taxable earnings base (the maximum amount of annual earnings subject to Social Security payroll taxes) will increase to $106,800 in 2009 (from $102,000 in 2008).

  • Exempt Amounts Under the Social Security Earnings Test. The exempt amount under the earnings test is the maximum amount of earnings allowed before a Social Security recipient's benefits are affected. In 2009, for persons who are below the full retirement age (FRA) and will not reach the FRA during that year, the annual exempt amount is $14,160 (up from $13,560 in 2008). There is a withholding of $1 of benefits for every $2 of earnings above this exempt amount. The earnings test no longer applies beginning with the month a recipient reaches the FRA. During the calendar year in which a recipient reaches the FRA, a higher exempt amount applies for those months preceding the individual's attainment of the FRA. In 2009, for persons who will reach the FRA in that year, the annual exempt amount is $37,680, or $3,140 per month (up from $36,120, or $3,010 per month, in 2008). There is a withholding of $1 of benefits for every $3 of earnings above this exempt amount.

 

Although not triggered by the COLA, other changes are tied to the increase in national average wages. In 2009, the amount of earnings needed for a Social Security "quarter-of-coverage" is $1,090 (up from $1,050 in 2008). The monthly substantial gainful activity amount for the non-blind disabled is $980 (up from $940 in 2008), and the amount for the blind disabled is $1,640 (up from $1,570 in 2008). The annual coverage thresholds for domestic workers and election workers increase by $100 from 2008 levels, to $1,700 and $1,500, respectively.

Tables 2 and 3 show the history of increases in Social Security benefits and the taxable earnings base. Table 4 shows the effect of the January 2009 COLA on monthly benefit levels.

     Table 2. History of Social Security Benefit Increases

 

 

                                            Amount of Increase

 

 Date Increase Was Paid                  (shown as a percentage)

 

 

 January 2009                                      5.8

 

 January 2008                                      2.3

 

 January 2007                                      3.3

 

 January 2006                                      4.1

 

 January 2005                                      2.7

 

 January 2004                                      2.1

 

 January 2003                                      1.4

 

 January 2002                                      2.6

 

 January 2001                                      3.5

 

 January 2000                                      2.5a

 

 January 1999                                      1.3

 

 January 1998                                      2.1

 

 January 1997                                      2.9

 

 January 1996                                      2.6

 

 January 1995                                      2.8

 

 January 1994                                      2.6

 

 January 1993                                      3.0

 

 January 1992                                      3.7

 

 January 1991                                      5.4

 

 January 1990                                      4.7

 

 January 1989                                      4.0

 

 January 1988                                      4.2

 

 January 1987                                      1.3

 

 January 1986                                      3.1

 

 January 1985                                      3.5

 

 January 1984                                      3.5

 

 July 1982                                         7.4

 

 July 1981                                        11.2

 

 July 1980                                        14.3

 

 July 1979                                         9.9

 

 July 1978                                         6.5

 

 July 1977                                         5.9

 

 July 1976                                         6.4

 

 July 1975b                                        8.0

 

 April/July 1974c                                 11.0

 

 October 1972                                     20.0

 

 February 1971                                    10.0

 

 February 1970                                    15.0

 

 March 1968                                       13.0

 

 February 1965                                     7.0

 

 February 1959                                     7.0

 

 October 1954                                     13.0

 

 October 1952                                     12.5

 

 October 1950                                     77.0

 

 

 Source: Social Security Administration.

 

 

                          FOOTNOTES TO TABLE 2

 

 

      a Originally computed as 2.4%, the COLA payable in

 

 January 2000 was corrected to 2.5% under P.L. 106-554.

 

 

      b Automatic COLAs began.

 

 

      c Increase came in two steps.

 

END OF FOOTNOTES TO TABLE 2

 

 

  Table 3. Social Security and Medicare Hospital Insurance Taxable

 

        Earnings Bases Since the Beginning of the Programs

 

 

                                           Taxable Earnings Base

 

 

 Year Effective                          OASDI              HI

 

 

 2009                                  $106,800        All earnings

 

 2008                                   102,000        All earnings

 

 2007                                    97,500        All earnings

 

 2006                                    94,200        All earnings

 

 2005                                    90,000        All earnings

 

 2004                                    87,900        All earnings

 

 2003                                    87,000        All earnings

 

 2002                                    84,900        All earnings

 

 2001                                    80,400        All earnings

 

 2000                                    76,200        All earnings

 

 1999                                    72,600        All earnings

 

 1998                                    68,400        All earnings

 

 1997                                    65,400        All earnings

 

 1996                                    62,700        All earnings

 

 1995                                    61,200        All earnings

 

 1994a                                   60,600        All earnings

 

 1993                                    57,600            $135,000

 

 1992                                    55,500             130,200

 

 1991b                                   53,400             125,000

 

 1990                                    51,300              51,300

 

 1989                                    48,000              48,000

 

 1988                                    45,000              45,000

 

 1987                                    43,800              43,800

 

 1986                                    42,000              42,000

 

 1985                                    39,600              39,600

 

 1984                                    37,800              37,800

 

 1983                                    35,700              35,700

 

 1982                                    32,400              32,400

 

 1981                                    29,700              29,700

 

 1980                                    25,900              25,900

 

 1979                                    22,900              22,900

 

 1978                                    17,700              17,700

 

 1977                                    16,500              16,500

 

 1976                                    15,300              15,300

 

 1975                                    14,100              14,100

 

 1974                                    13,200              13,200

 

 1973                                    10,800              10,800

 

 1972                                     9,000               9,000

 

 1968-1971                                7,800               7,800

 

 1966-1967c                               6,600               6,600

 

 1959-1965                                4,800                  --

 

 1955-1958                                4,200                  --

 

 1951-1954                                3,600                  --

 

 1937-1950                                3,000                  --

 

 

 Source: Social Security Administration.

 

 

                          FOOTNOTES TO TABLE 3

 

 

      a The HI taxable earnings base was eliminated by the

 

 Omnibus Budget Reconciliation Act of 1993.

 

 

      b The HI taxable earnings base was raised to $125,000

 

 as a revenue-raising measure in the Omnibus Budget Reconciliation Act

 

 of 1990.

 

 

      c 1966 was the first year in which the HI tax was

 

 levied.

 

END OF FOOTNOTES TO TABLE 3

 

 

 Table 4. Impact of January 2009 COLA on Monthly Benefit Levels

 

 

                                              Before         After

 

                                             5.8% COLA     5.8% COLA

 

 

 Average Social Security monthly benefit

 

 levels:

 

 

 All retired workers                          $1,090        $1,153

 

 Aged couple, both receiving benefits         $1,773        $1,876

 

 Widowed mother and two children              $2,268        $2,399

 

 Aged widow(er) alone                         $1,051        $1,112

 

 All disabled workers                         $1,006        $1,064

 

 Disabled worker, spouse, and one or

 

 more children                                $1,695        $1,793

 

 

 SSI federal monthly payment standard:

 

 

 Individual                                     $637          $674

 

 Couple                                         $956        $1,011

 

 

 Source: Social Security Administration, October 16, 2008.

 

FOOTNOTE

 

 

1 For retirees under the Federal Employees' Retirement System (FERS), a different formula is applied and the resulting increases may differ.

 

END OF FOOTNOTE
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